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叶檀:东北城镇化率的巨大优势缘何未能带动民间投资

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2019年09月16日 22:11:39
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(  叶)(檀)(  在)(民)(间)(投)(资)(增)(长)(放)(缓)(的)(大)(背)(景)(下)(,近)(日)(,国)(务)(院)(督)(查)(组)(在)(黑)(龙)(江)(省)(进)(行)(了)(调)(研)(。  一)(个)(有)(资)(源)(、有)(完)(整)(铁)(路)(线)(、有)(重)(工)(业)(基)(础)(的)(经)(济)(区)(域)(,经)(济)(陷)(入)(困)(境)(,原)(因)(非)(常)(复)(杂)(。  国)(有)(体)(制)(对)(地)(方)(经)(济)(曾)(发)(挥)(巨)(大)(推)(动)(作)(用)(,但)(现)(在)(某)(些)(僵)(化)(元)(素)(所)(积)(累)(的)(弊)(端)(也)(日)(益)(显)(现)(。  2015年)(9月)(,黑)(龙)(江)(省)(商)(务)(厅)(刊)(发)(《东)(北)(经)(济)(:传)(统)(产)(业)(比)(重)(过)(高)(结)(构)(怎)(么)(调)(?》的)(文)(章)(,指)(出)(辽)(宁)(省)(的)(国)(有)(经)(济)(占)(比)(超)(过)(30%,吉)(林)(省)(超)(过)(40%,黑)(龙)(江)(省)(超)(过)(50%,远)(高)(于)(全)(国)(平)(均)(水)(平)(。黑)(龙)(江)(省)(现)(有)(规)(模)(以)(上)(企)(业)(4113家)(,国)(有)(企)(业)(比)(重)(接)(近)(70%。  这)(样)(的)(情)(况)(绝)(非)(少)(见)(:一)(两)(个)(大)(型)(国)(有)(企)(业)(占)(据)(大)(半)(座)(城)(市)(,企)(业)(内)(部)(自)(己)(办)(社)(会)(,从)(教)(育)(到)(医)(疗)(大)(包)(干)(,由)(此)(很)(难)(形)(成)(城)(市)(该)(有)(的)(社)(会)(合)(作)(分)(工)(,这)(也)(是)(所)(在)(城)(市)(缺)(乏)(活)(力)(的)(重)(要)(原)(因)(。  东)(北)(作)(为)(工)(业)(重)(镇)(,城)(镇)(化)(水)(平)(并)(不)(低)(。2013年)(,辽)(宁)(省)(城)(镇)(化)(率)(达)(到)(66.45%,接)(近)(发)(达)(国)(家)(平)(均)(水)(平)(,在)(全)(国)(排)(名)(第)(五)(,黑)(龙)(江)(和)(吉)(林)(城)(镇)(化)(率)(分)(别)(为)(57.4%和)(54.2%,居)(全)(国)(第)(11位)(和)(13位)(。  从)(理)(论)(上)(说)(,经)(济)(越)(发)(达)(,城)(镇)(化)(水)(平)(越)(高)(;城)(镇)(化)(水)(平)(越)(高)(,第)(三)(产)(业)(越)(发)(达)(;第)(三)(产)(业)(越)(发)(达)(,城)(市)(越)(繁)(荣)(。这)(本)(是)(一)(个)(基)(于)(自)(然)(循)(环)(的)(发)(展)(模)(式)(。遗)(憾)(的)(是)(,东)(北)(情)(况)(与)(上)(述)(情)(形)(并)(不)(吻)(合)(,说)(明)(东)(北)(的)(城)(镇)(化)(在)(很)(大)(程)(度)(上)(是)(建)(立)(在)(国)(有)(重)(化)(工)(业)(的)(基)(础)(上)(,城)(镇)(化)(质)(量)(不)(够)(高)(,分)(工)(也)(不)(完)(善)(。  如)(果)(东)(三)(省)(不)(打)(破)(企)(业)(办)(社)(会)(的)(现)(象)(,城)(市)(想)(建)(立)(起)(完)(整)(的)(生)(态)(链)(就)(比)(较)(困)(难)(。即)(使)(某)(些)(大)(型)(企)(业)(一)(时)(无)(法)(打)(破)(,但)(大)(而)(全)(、内)(部)(什)(么)(都)(有)(的)(企)(业)(必)(须)(要)(打)(破)(,否)(则)(企)(业)(的)(社)(会)(功)(能)(对)(当)(地)(经)(济)(发)(展)(会)(造)(成)(阻)(碍)(,最)(典)(型)(的)(例)(子)(就)(如)(以)(前)(只)(招)(内)(部)(职)(工)(子)(弟)(,这)(样)(让)(当)(地)(就)(业)(如)(何)(均)(衡)(发)(展)(。  虽)(然)(东)(三)(省)(的)(民)(营)(经)(济)(已)(经)(取)(得)(较)(大)(的)(进)(展)(,但)(与)(东)(部)(沿)(海)(省)(份)(比)(,创)(业)(、创)(新)(的)(程)(度)(仍)(然)(不)(够)(。  创)(业)(是)(个)(风)(险)(活)(,成)(功)(的)(几)(率)(并)(不)(会)(特)(别)(高)(。东)(北)(的)(朋)(友)(计)(算)(机)(会)(成)(本)(:如)(果)(跟)(随)(父)(母)(的)(脚)(步)(,基)(本)(可)(以)(顺)(理)(成)(章)(进)(入)(国)(企)(,这)(样)(还)(有)(谁)(愿)(意)(去)(民)(企)(工)(作)(;如)(果)(去)(创)(业)(起)(早)(摸)(黑)(从)(底)(层)(开)(始)(,风)(险)(高)(,“牺)(牲)(概)(率)(”也)(大)(。曾)(经)(有)(媒)(体)(报)(道)(,大)(庆)(油)(田)(职)(工)(子)(女)(被)(父)(母)(逼)(着)(去)(油)(田)(,从)(事)(一)(份)(旱)(涝)(保)(收)(的)(工)(作)(。这)(些)(父)(母)(把)(家)(族)(的)(命)(运)(世)(世)(代)(代)(与)(国)(企)(联)(系)(到)(了)(一)(起)(。  可)(以)(对)(比)(的)(案)(例)(就)(是)(武)(钢)(的)(转)(型)(和)(员)(工)(再)(就)(业)(,虽)(然)(也)(在)(一)(定)(程)(度)(上)(引)(发)(了)(社)(会)(波)(澜)(,却)(没)(有)(造)(成)(武)(汉)(经)(济)(伤)(筋)(动)(骨)(,这)(应)(该)(归)(功)(于)(武)(汉)(经)(济)(多)(元)(化)(、韧)(性)(强)(。  东)(三)(省)(民)(营)(经)(济)(也)(有)(一)(定)(的)(发)(展)(,但)(寄)(生)(在)(传)(统)(国)(企)(身)(上)(的)(比)(较)(多)(,这)(些)(企)(业)(除)(少)(数)(制)(药)(等)(行)(业)(外)(,大)(多)(没)(有)(形)(成)(完)(整)(的)(产)(业)(链)(。  黑)(龙)(江)(省)(民)(间)(投)(资)(的)(规)(模)(稳)(步)(扩)(大)(,非)(公)(经)(济)(占)(经)(济)(总)(量)(比)(重)(从)(2010年)(的)(48%提)(高)(到)(2015年)(的)(52.6%。其)(中)(,2015年)(黑)(龙)(江)(省)(非)(公)(经)(济)(实)(现)(增)(加)(值)(同)(比)(增)(长)(7.3%,增)(幅)(高)(于)(地)(区)(生)(产)(总)(值)(1.6个)(百)(分)(点)(。但)(多)(数)(民)(企)(吊)(在)(国)(企)(的)(脖)(子)(上)(,没)(有)(自)(己)(的)(独)(立)(意)(志)(。  长)(春)(的)(一)(汽)(很)(强)(,但)(它)(周)(边)(的)(汽)(车)(产)(业)(链)(与)(民)(间)(投)(资)(兴)(旺)(的)(长)(三)(角)(相)(比)(,无)(论)(是)(产)(业)(链)(的)(成)(熟)(还)(是)(完)(善)(的)(程)(度)(,显)(然)(都)(还)(有)(较)(大)(差)(距)(。可)(以)(想)(象)(一)(下)(,如)(果)(中)(俄)(边)(境)(连)(片)(的)(秋)(叶)(林)(、滑)(雪)(胜)(地)(、俄)(罗)(斯)(文)(化)(等)(元)(素)(要)(放)(在)(珠)(三)(角)(,那)(服)(务)(业)(还)(不)(得)(跟)(烈)(火)(烹)(油)(似)(的)(,能)(够)(解)(决)(多)(少)(人)(的)(就)(业)(问)(题)(。  很)(可)(惜)(,东)(北)(很)(多)(富)(有)(特)(色)(的)(文)(化)(并)(没)(能)(彰)(显)(出)(来)(。笔)(者)(到)(哈)(尔)(滨)(曾)(去)(了)(一)(家)(著)(名)(的)(餐)(厅)(,发)(现)(俄)(餐)(确)(实)(不)(够)(地)(道)(。一)(些)(林)(业)(城)(市)(转)(型)(林)(业)(深)(加)(工)(,但)(缺)(乏)(高)(品)(味)(的)(城)(市)(规)(划)(,突)(兀)(的)(高)(楼)(大)(厦)(使)(绿)(色)(森)(林)(气)(息)(大)(打)(折)(扣)(。现)(在)(一)(提)(到)(东)(北)(文)(化)(,能)(给)(人)(深)(刻)(印)(象)(的)(似)(乎)(只)(有)(铁)(岭)(二)(人)(转)(,东)(北)(文)(化)(上)(的)(衰)(落)(令)(人)(遗)(憾)(。  有)(些)(受)(访)(的)(民)(间)(企)(业)(家)(向)(国)(务)(院)(督)(查)(组)(反)(映)(,招)(商)(引)(资)(时)(被)(奉)(为)(座)(上)(宾)(,项)(目)(投)(产)(后)(,地)(方)(政)(府)(承)(诺)(的)(条)(件)(不)(兑)(现)(,“新)(官)(不)(理)(旧)(账)(”问)(题)(较)(突)(出)(。企)(业)(将)(之)(形)(象)(地)(描)(述)(为)(“JQK”:先)(勾)(我)(们)(进)(来)(,圈)(块)(地)(给)(我)(们)(,然)(后)(再)(\我)(们)(,再)(严)(重)(一)(点)(,就)(是)(招)(商)(引)(资)(关)(门)(打)(狗)(。  地)(方)(政)(府)(如)(果)(没)(有)(长)(期)(的)(制)(度)(信)(用)(,承)(诺)(的)(东)(西)(或)(者)(不)(符)(合)(制)(度)(而)(不)(得)(不)(取)(消)(,或)(者)(政)(府)(换)(一)(任)(官)(员)(改)(一)(个)(规)(划)(,就)(会)(让)(政)(府)(信)(用)(成)(为)(当)(地)(官)(员)(短)(期)(行)(为)(的)(牺)(牲)(品)(。  新)(华)(社)(曾)(连)(续)(推)(出)(“聚)(焦)(东)(北)(经)(济)(病)(灶)(”系)(列)(报)(道)(,文)(中)(曾)(提)(到)(东)(北)(人)(喜)(欢)(用)(“熊)(瞎)(子)(掰)(苞)(米)(”来)(形)(容)(顾)(此)(失)(彼)(的)(短)(视)(行)(为)(,而)(这)(恰)(恰)(是)(一)(些)(地)(方)(政)(府)(产)(业)(发)(展)(方)(式)(的)(真)(实)(写)(照)(。一)(些)(地)(方)(规)(划)(成)(百)(上)(千)(亿)(规)(模)(的)(产)(业)(如)(“走)(马)(灯)(”般)(说)(换)(就)(换)(。例)(如)(吉)(林)(省)(前)(郭)(尔)(罗)(斯)(蒙)(古)(族)(自)(治)(县)(10年)(换)(了)(7个)(发)(展)(思)(路)(,从)(“133”产)(业)(发)(展)(格)(局)(、“135”发)(展)(战)(略)(到)(“三)(三)(九)(五)(”工)(作)(思)(路)(、“1263”工)(作)(思)(路)(、“1345”工)(作)(思)(路)(等)(。  几)(年)(前)(纷)(纷)(上)(马)(的)(光)(伏)(、动)(漫)(等)(产)(业)(,如)(今)(在)(东)(北)(已)(经)(难)(觅)(踪)(迹)(,一)(些)(被)(寄)(予)(厚)(望)(的)(大)(项)(目)(也)(遭)(遇)(搁)(浅)(。这)(让)(一)(些)(企)(业)(家)(和)(贷)(款)(的)(银)(行)(哭)(都)(找)(不)(到)(地)(方)(哭)(。如)(果)(不)(能)(建)(立)(起)(法)(治)(市)(场)(的)(观)(念)(,不)(能)(建)(立)(起)(码)(的)(信)(用)(,而)(地)(方)(的)(政)(策)(又)(朝)(令)(夕)(改)(的)(话)(,市)(场)(经)(济)(当)(然)(很)(难)(发)(展)(得)(起)(来)(。
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